US Core PCE Inflation Likely to Hold Steady, Casting Doubt on Additional Fed Rate Cuts
US Core PCE Inflation Likely to Hold Steady, Casting Doubt on Additional Fed Rate Cuts The Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) is set to release October’s Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index on Wednesday at 13:30 GMT. As the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) preferred inflation gauge, this data will provide insights into the trajectory of inflation and its potential impact on monetary policy decisions. This release coincides with a busy macroeconomic calendar due to the Thanksgiving […]
Australian Dollar Holds Steady After Initial Gains Amid Stable US Dollar
Australian Dollar Holds Steady After Initial Gains Amid Stable US Dollar The Australian Dollar (AUD) maintained a steady position on Monday after paring earlier gains as the US Dollar (USD) continued to undergo a corrective pullback. The USD’s downward trajectory was partly driven by optimism in bond markets following President-elect Donald Trump’s nomination of Scott Bessent as Treasury Secretary. Bessent, known for his fiscal conservatism and Wall Street experience, contributed to improved market sentiment. Key […]
UK CPI Expected to Accelerate in October, Reducing Odds of Further BoE Rate Cuts
UK CPI Expected to Accelerate in October, Reducing Odds of Further BoE Rate Cuts The Office for National Statistics (ONS) will release the United Kingdom’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for October on Wednesday at 07:00 GMT. This inflation report is pivotal for determining the Bank of England’s (BoE) future interest rate policy and could significantly impact the Pound Sterling’s trajectory. Key Expectations for UK CPI Data Annual Headline CPI: Expected to rise to 2.2% […]
Australian Dollar Holds Steady as RBA Minutes Highlight Need for Restrictive Policy
Australian Dollar Holds Steady as RBA Minutes Highlight Need for Restrictive Policy The Australian Dollar (AUD) remained stable against the US Dollar (USD) after the release of the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) November Meeting Minutes on Tuesday. The minutes underscored the board’s cautious stance on inflation, emphasizing the continued need for restrictive monetary policy to mitigate potential risks. While the RBA board did not signal an “immediate need” to adjust the cash rate, it […]
Japanese Yen Bears Show Resilience Despite Intervention Concerns
Japanese Yen Bears Show Resilience Despite Intervention Concerns The Japanese Yen (JPY) has clawed back much of its earlier losses against the US Dollar (USD), with the USD/JPY pair stabilizing in the mid-154.00s as the European session begins on Monday. Fears of intervention by Japanese authorities to bolster the Yen, combined with heightened geopolitical tensions, have lent some support to the safe-haven currency. Additionally, a modest dip in the US Dollar further limits the upside […]
Australian Dollar Struggles as US Dollar Strengthens Ahead of US PPI Release
Australian Dollar Struggles as US Dollar Strengthens Ahead of US PPI Release The Australian Dollar (AUD) remains under pressure against the US Dollar (USD) following Thursday’s economic data releases. Australia’s Consumer Inflation Expectations fell to 3.8% in November, down from 4.0% in October, marking the lowest level since October 2021. Australia’s Unemployment Rate, seasonally adjusted, held steady at 4.1% in October for the third consecutive month, meeting market expectations. However, Employment Change disappointed, with only […]
US CPI Inflation Data Expected to Rebound in October as Markets Assess Trump Victory Impact
US CPI Inflation Data Expected to Rebound in October as Markets Assess Trump Victory Impact The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) is set to release the United States (US) Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for October on Wednesday at 13:30 GMT, with significant market interest expected. The US Dollar (USD) is likely to experience high volatility from this inflation report, which could play a crucial role in shaping the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) interest rate expectations […]
Japanese Yen Lingers Near Daily Lows Around Mid-153.00s vs. USD Amid BoJ Uncertainty
Japanese Yen Lingers Near Daily Lows Around Mid-153.00s vs. USD Amid BoJ Uncertainty The Japanese Yen (JPY) faces selling pressure at the start of the week as the Bank of Japan (BoJ) released a Summary of Opinions from its October meeting, revealing a lack of consensus among policymakers on the timing of potential rate hikes. This division, coupled with political uncertainty in Japan, casts doubt on the BoJ’s capacity to continue tightening its monetary policy, […]
US Dollar Price Forecast: Holds Steady Around 104.50, Above Key Moving Averages
US Dollar Price Forecast: Holds Steady Around 104.50, Above Key Moving Averages The US Dollar Index (DXY) remains steady around 104.50 during European trading on Friday, extending its daily gains. Analysis of the daily chart suggests a continued bullish trend, with the DXY moving within an ascending channel. The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains above 50, supporting the bullish sentiment. Additionally, the nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) sits above the 14-day EMA, signaling upward […]
Japanese Yen Hovers Near Daily Low Against USD, US Election Concerns Lend Support
Japanese Yen Hovers Near Daily Low Against USD, US Election Concerns Lend Support The Japanese Yen (JPY) holds steady, drifting further from a one-week low against the US Dollar (USD) touched on Monday, as expectations rise that Japan’s political landscape may complicate future rate hikes by the Bank of Japan (BoJ). However, BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda’s recent comments at last week’s press conference leave open the possibility of a rate hike at the upcoming BoJ […]
Gold price trades with mild negative bias near record high amid modest USD uptick
Gold price trades with mild negative bias near record high amid modest USD uptick As Thursday dawned upon the trading halls, gold—the venerable “yellow metal”—suffered a modest dip during the early hours of the Asian session, like a nobleman impeded by the ever-looming shadow of the sturdy US Dollar. This glimmering asset, dear to traders and watchful investors alike, found itself tethered, held back by the Dollar’s fresh vigor and the shrewd murmurs of a […]
NZD/USD Holds Below 0.6000 on Dovish RBNZ Outlook, US GDP Data Awaited
NZD/USD Holds Below 0.6000 on Dovish RBNZ Outlook, US GDP Data Awaited The NZD/USD pair remains under pressure near 0.5970 during the Asian session on Wednesday, weighed down by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s (RBNZ) dovish outlook. Market participants are now looking ahead to key US data, including the third-quarter GDP report and ADP Employment Change for October, which are due on Wednesday. Goldman Sachs analysts foresee a potentially aggressive stance from the RBNZ, […]
Australian Dollar Declines Amid Market Caution
Australian Dollar Declines Amid Market Caution The Australian Dollar (AUD) edged lower against the US Dollar (USD) on Thursday, though the AUD/USD pair experienced minor gains as the USD softened slightly with a modest dip in US Treasury yields. The AUD might find some support from the hawkish tone surrounding the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). RBA Deputy Governor Andrew Hauser highlighted the country’s robust labor participation rate earlier this week and emphasized that while […]
US Dollar Holds Steady Amid Correction, Market Focus Shifts to Key Mid-Tier Data
US Dollar Holds Steady Amid Correction, Market Focus Shifts to Key Mid-Tier Data The US Dollar (USD) maintains resilience against major counterparts early Friday after losing momentum on Thursday. European trading hours will center on Germany’s IFO business sentiment surveys, while later in the day, US data releases, including September Durable Goods Orders and the final revision of October’s University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index, are expected. Additionally, Canada’s September Retail Sales report will provide […]
Australian Dollar Faces Downward Pressure Amid Risk-Off Sentiment
Australian Dollar Faces Downward Pressure Amid Risk-Off Sentiment The Australian Dollar (AUD) struggled to maintain its previous gains on Wednesday, as the AUD/USD pair came under pressure from a stronger US Dollar (USD) driven by rising US Treasury yields. The growing risk aversion in markets, partly fueled by the increasing odds of Donald Trump winning the presidency, has added selling pressure on US Treasury bonds, thereby boosting the USD. However, the downside for the AUD […]
Australian Labor Market Surprises Positively – Commerzbank
Australian Labor Market Surprises Positively – Commerzbank Australia’s employment report delivered stronger-than-expected results this morning, joining the list of countries with unexpectedly robust labor data, notes Commerzbank’s FX analyst, Michael Pfister. AUD Supported Amid Strong Job Creation “Job creation reached 64.1k, slightly outpacing August’s already strong figure, with most gains driven by full-time positions. Meanwhile, the unemployment rate was revised down slightly and remains at 4.1%, close to historic lows and well below the decade […]
Global Investors Left in the Dark on China as Wall Street Surges
Global Investors Left in the Dark on China as Wall Street Surges Global investors are struggling to navigate China’s economic uncertainties after Beijing’s weekend stimulus update underwhelmed markets. While China remains in a fog, Wall Street powered ahead with the S&P 500 and Dow extending their rally, setting the stage for Tokyo to join in when its mafrkets reopen after a three-day holiday. Tech stocks, particularly in the chip sector, surged despite the U.S. Treasury […]
US CPI Inflation Data Could Shape Market Expectations for Fed Rate Decisions
US CPI Inflation Data Could Shape Market Expectations for Fed Rate Decisions The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) is set to release the eagerly awaited Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation data for September on Thursday at 12:30 GMT. The U.S. Dollar (USD) faces potential volatility, as the report could play a significant role in shaping the market’s expectations for the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) interest rate policy for the remainder of the year. What to […]